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Mar 14, 2009

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I see your point and appreciate it. But when I look at the chart of glacial lengths, my read is the lines almost all increase their rate of decline as the industrial revolution picks up the pace.

I think that a better tack for deniers of global climate change is to claim error, or accidental misinterpretation of data. To claim that it's a hoax implicitly accuses thousands of scientists from hundreds of universities, corporations, and research institutes of colluding in secret over the course of decades. That's because the evidence for global climate change is decentralized, a result of independent temperature monitoring done at thousands of locations over the course of a century or more. Compare that with Piltdown Man, which was premised on the discovery of a single collection of skull fragments found by a single person. In that case, anybody studying the subject had to trust Charles Dawson in his claim as to where it was found, which is what made such a hoax plausible. Obviously, that's considerably easier to pull off, because it was a confidence game, since the discovery itself outstripped the scientific capacity of the day. There is no such fulcrum on which global climate change rests.

So what you are proposing is a massive conspiracy theory which, even if true, leads reasonable readers to conclude that your thinking is in line with those who believe that Elvis is alive, JFK was killed by the FBI, September 11th was an inside job, and the moon landing was faked. I think you'll find it far more effective to claim that you possess some knowledge or perspective that thousands of climate scientists lack.

Waldo,

Good to hear from you again! You always bring interesting viewpoints to the discussion.

I used the term hoax because James Hansen of NASA pieced together disrelated data to support his AGW conclusions and left out data that did not support his theory. (I misspelled his name earlier and left out his affiliation.)

In the same vein, the IPCC summary report that supposedly reported on a consensus of 2500 scientists, carefully omitted the contrary views of a great number of people whose names were included in the "consensus.

These people have been coming forward ever since.

If one picks and chooses data to support a theory and then claims that the issue has been settled because of a "consensus", this is the hallmark of junk science. Efforts to claim a consensus in science date back to flat earth days and to the notion that the sun revolves around the earth.

The targeting of skeptics is another sign of a religious belief in global warming as opposed to a scientific attitude of inquiry.

I am an engineer, not a scientist, so I have little regard for theories unless I can see that they produce results. When someone comes up with an idea that produces results and these results can be replicated by others, I don't even ask if the originator has the proper PhD.

When AGW zealots attempt to discredit skeptics because they are not "real" experts, it is a dead giveaway of their inability to produce results that matter.

Their only results so far are their ability to get funding and to deny funding to those who expose them.

Oh some on! Surely you're not denying that we're causing climate change on a massive and destructive scale!
The planet may have undergone periodic shifts in temperature over the course of its history but we are now seeing those changes withing the span of decades and the graphs are all going up.
It doesn't take a PhD to appreciate the basic chemistry of more CO2 = higher temperatures = environmental imbalance and havoc.

David says: It all depends on whose graphs you look at and CO2 has been much higher in the past when temperatures were lower.

David, your argument is that global warming is a conspiracy theory. You mention that Hanson, whoever he is, picks and chooses his data to support his view, but what about other scientists? Other groups? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change#Statements_by_dissenting_organizations

"With the release of the revised statement by the American Association of Petroleum Geologists in 2007, no remaining scientific body of national or international standing is known to reject the basic findings of human influence on recent climate change.[65]"

And so what you are trying to convince us is that the individual scientists who oppose it must be right.

And I have no problem with that assertion. It is entirely possible that everyone is wrong and a handful of people have it right.

I just find it strange that in a world where saying that global warming supposedly leads to a push against industry, I'm supposed to believe that there is an incentive for all of these government funded studies to purposefully misinterpret the data. Also, by saying that the minority scientists are correct, isn't that just picking and choosing data to support your cause and ignoring the rest of the data? How are you not guilty of the same crime you are accusing others of?

I wish I knew what you meant by "producing results that matter". If AGW is fact, wouldn't a warning be a result that mattered? Wouldn't initiatives to reduce or reverse global warming be results that matter?

Thanks to all who are joining in the discussion. I write to stimulate thought and possible action, not to prescribe to others what they should believe.

On Global Warming, you are going to have to decide for yourselves.

I had no difficulty with the concept of global warming at first, but the actions of those espousing global warming soon convinced me that their goal was political control. not any concern for mankind.

Read my simple credibility test and decide for yourself:
http://www.making-ripples.com/2008/09/a-simple-credib.html

Mr. St. Lawrence,
As a person who feels that it's humanity's DUTY to tread lightly on the earth, I find it chilling that you (and others who view the earth as ripe for exploitation) have sucessfully politicized this "issue"...in effect making this an us vs. them issue.

Taking care of the planet isn't a political issue, unless you're damn fool enough to let it be one.


David says: You need to read my article again. I failed to mention any exploitation. If there is a crisis, let the authors of the AGW scam act like there is a crisis. Al Gore's 100 ft houseboat and monstrous energy-sucking house give the lie to his claims that there any crisis at all.

Politicizing the care of the planet was not an issue until Al Gore started it with his junk science film.

Science is about asking questions and finding answers. When a politician tells us that the matter is "settled" and there is no room for further discussion, that throws science out of the window and opens the door to all sorts of legislation to "fix" things that may not be broken.

That's fine, but I've yet to find any evidence that anyone is suppressing speech here. What I've found is that a broad majority seems convinced through many, many independent studies, and a small minority thinks otherwise, which hasn't been quelled or covered up since it is very easy to find information on their views.

It seems amazing to me that there could be that much organization involved to have "political control" as the goal of such a wide-scale hoax. And who is doing the controlling? It seems that you could blame liberals if you believe that they are trying to destroy capitalism, or you could blame conservatives if you believe that they are just trying to push nuclear power through the guise of "being green". It can't be both, can it?

Dave, you've essentially made some heavy accusations in this post, and I guess I'm hoping for better evidence than that you think the proponents seem fishy. I can't find much information out there when I've searched, so I was hoping you could tell me what exactly you found that convinced you that any suppressive action and conspiracy was happening. I've seen more evidence for global warming than against, and it seems most of the science world has, too. How does someone who claims he is not a scientist come to be so sure of a completely different conclusion?

Think you certainly hit a tender spot here! Glad to see it. We need more of this kind of questioning and examination of things, rather than expecting things just because 'someone' says so.

The way I see it, the bottom line is that there is no harm in reducing carbon emissions and it is very likely that great good will come from doing so. There is also a good chance that great harm will come from continuing "business as usual". Sure, there is a chance that the minority scientists could be right but are you willing to gamble your grandchildren's or great-grandchildren's future on it? Not me.

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